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Methodology

Methodology behind every score.

The Course Employability Score is a weighted, auditable framework. Four pillars, one hundred points, four risk bands. Partner signals may appear in evidence but are excluded from the weighted score.

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Risk bands

Score in, financing verdict out.

CES range
80+
High employability
Full exposure
CES range
60 - 80
Moderate employability
Standard exposure
CES range
40 - 60
Uncertain outcomes
Reduced exposure with safeguards
CES range
0 - 40
Weak job linkage
Avoid financing without collateral
Four pillars

Weights are nominal, evidence sets the floor.

Each pillar carries a nominal weight on the 100-point scale. Pillars with thin evidence are dropped and the remaining ones are renormalised so the total still sums to 100.

Weight
30%

Training Quality

Regulatory recognition of the qualification (NQR mapping, regulator licensure, expiry/lapse state). Penalised when the qualification pack is expired or absent.

Weight
25%
Market dynamics breakdown

The market pillar is five sub-signals.

Market Dynamics rolls up demand, salary realism, sector trajectory, automation possibility and structural displacement risk. Sub-weights:

Sub-componentWeightSignal
demand40%Country-normalised vacancy count and unique employer breadth.
salary30%Median salary band converted to INR via fixed FX, compared against country floor.
sector15%Keyword-backed sector classification with symmetric positive/negative scoring.
automation possibility10%100 * (1 - automation_exposure); high exposure suppresses the score.
displacement risk5%Penalised only when disruption_kind is structural and automation_exposure is high.
Fail-closed safeguards

We’d rather grade a pathway honestly low than falsely high.

Renormalisation floor

When any pillar's evidence confidence falls below 25%, its weight is dropped and the remaining pillars are scaled up proportionally. The final score is then derated by overall blended confidence.

Single-source cap

When fewer than 2 independent sources contribute to the role, the final CES is capped at 35 to prevent thin-evidence overscoring.

Insufficient-evidence band

When too many pillars fail the confidence floor, the role is moved to the "Insufficient evidence" band. Financing verdict: Cannot underwrite.

Reference

The full methodology document (CES_METHODOLOGY.md) lives alongside the scoring engine and is available on request. This page is generated from public/ces-methodology.json (framework CES v2, version 1.0).

Snapshot generated 2026-05-21T06:16:27Z.

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Platform

Skill FinanceEquipment / Business Loans

Placement Outcome

Verified placement rate, salary verification rate, and survey mismatch rate from outreach to graduates/employers. Independent of training pillar.

Weight
30%

Market Dynamics

Country-normalised demand, salary band against country cost-of-living, sector trajectory, automation possibility and displacement risk. Composite of five sub-signals.

Weight
15%

Government Support

Bilateral migration pathways, federal action plans, and policy dimensions backing the role. Uses neutral prior when no evidence is found.

Qualification-pack lapse ladder

Training quality is penalised on a published ladder: 0m → 100, 12m → 70, 24m → 40, 48m → 25. Floor: 20.

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